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Ian Machado Garry Faces Makhachev Prediction: Tukhugov Says He’ll Submit

2026-07-19 · Ian Machado Garry · Opinion

Ian Machado Garry Faces Makhachev Prediction: Tukhugov Says He’ll Submit

Ian Machado Garry heads into UFC 330 with a bold prediction hanging over him-former UFC competitor Zubaira Tukhugov says Islam Makhachev will submit Garry via choke in the second or third round on Aug 16.

What did Tukhugov predict?

Tukhugov, speaking to Telecomasia.net, forecasted a choke finish for Makhachev against Garry. He believes the Russian’s disciplined diet-no sodas, juices, or sweets-keeps him in peak condition, allowing a second- or third-round submission. The prediction hinges on Makhachev’s relentless grappling and Garry’s relative inexperience at welterweight title level.

How credible is the prediction?

Tukhugov’s own record adds weight: 20 wins, six losses, one draw, with his last bout on Feb 12, 2023, ending in a split-decision loss to Elves Brener. While he hasn’t fought in three years, his insight into fight preparation is valued. He notes Makhachev’s training consistency, a factor that often separates champions from challengers.

Why does this matter for Ian Machado Garry?

A loss by choke would be a stark reminder of the technical gap Garry must bridge to claim the welterweight crown. Garry’s rise has been rapid, but a defeat could stall momentum and affect future matchmaking. The prediction also fuels fan debate, increasing hype and viewership for UFC 330, where Garry’s performance will be under intense scrutiny.

What’s next for Garry after the fight?

If Garry survives the predicted choke, he could leverage the experience to refine his ground game. A win would cement his status as a top-tier contender, likely setting up a rematch or a new title defense. Regardless of outcome, the fight on Aug 16 will shape his trajectory in the UFC welterweight division for months to come.

How does Tukhugov’s background influence his view?

Having competed at UFC 284 in Perth, Tukhugov understands the pressures of high-stakes bouts. His split-decision loss to Brener underscores his appreciation for close fights and the fine margins that decide them. This perspective informs his confidence that Makhachev’s disciplined regimen will translate into a decisive submission.

What does the broader MMA community say?

Analysts echo Tukhugov’s sentiment, pointing to Makhachev’s recent dominance and Garry’s striking prowess as a classic striker-vs-grappler clash. Social media buzz reflects a split between those who trust Garry’s evolution and those who back Makhachev’s methodical approach. The narrative builds anticipation for a potentially historic showdown.

The fight is set for Aug 16 at UFC 330, a date that will test both athletes’ preparation and resolve. Whether Tukhugov’s prediction holds true, the bout promises to be a defining moment for Ian Machado Garry’s career.

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