Pablo Carreño Busta targets Estoril Open glory at 18/1 odds

Pablo Carreño Busta is a standout betting tip for the Millennium Estoril Open, with odds of 18/1 reflecting his strong form and past success at the event. The Spaniard won the tournament in 2017 and has made multiple semi-finals, proving his affinity for the clay courts in Estoril.

Why Estoril suits Carreño Busta

The 35-year-old has a proven track record in Portugal, with a win and a runner-up finish in previous editions. His recent form backs up his potential, with 19 wins in his last 26 matches across all levels. This includes a Challenger title in Murcia and strong showings at the French Open and Wimbledon, where he reached the last 16 and pushed opponents to deciding sets.

Carreño Busta's path to the title

Carreño Busta opens against Vilius Gaubas before a potential clash with either Frederico Ferreira Silva or Luca van Assche. If he advances, a meeting with top seed Andrey Rublev could await. While Rublev is favored, Carreño Busta has pushed the Russian in all three of their previous matches, taking each to a deciding set.

Form and motivation

The Spaniard’s recent performances suggest he’s in good shape. He beat Jiri Lehecka at the French Open and pushed Camilo Ugo Carabelli to a third-set tiebreak in Umag last week. With his experience and love for the Estoril courts, Carreño Busta is a compelling outsider at 18/1.