Kawhi Leonard’s next team still predicted as Clippers by market odds

Kawhi Leonard’s next NBA team is still expected to be the Los Angeles Clippers according to prediction markets on 16 July 2026.

What happened?

Prediction markets tracking Kawhi Leonard’s free-agency future still point to a reunion with the Los Angeles Clippers. The odds have barely moved in weeks, keeping the two-time Finals MVP linked to the franchise he helped lead to the 2021 championship. The market’s latest snapshot shows no shift toward rival suitors despite the July moratorium lifting.

Why it matters for Kawhi Leonard

For Kawhi, the Clippers remain the safest bet. Sources close to the process say the player’s camp hasn’t pushed back on a return, and the team’s core-built around him and Paul George-stays intact. A deal would keep him in familiar surroundings, with no need to uproot his family or adjust to a new system mid-career.

What the odds say now

The latest market data, compiled on 16 July 2026, gives Kawhi a roughly 60% chance to re-sign with the Clippers. The next-closest option, the Dallas Mavericks, sits around 20%, with the Phoenix Suns and Miami Heat trailing further behind. The numbers reflect little change from late June, signaling confidence in continuity.

What comes next?

The next window opens when the NBA’s moratorium lifts on 6 July. Kawhi’s camp can then finalize terms, though no new offers have surfaced to force a decision. If he stays, the Clippers would retain their championship-level core. If he leaves, the ripple effects could reshape the West.